Monday, May 28, 2018

Jim Rogers: Everything is Going to be a Disaster


You should only invest in things that you, yourself, know about. The worst mistake is being invested in something you don't really know about, because when things start going wrong, you really get whipsawed and get hurt.

If you know a lot about investing, you might sell short, you might buy agriculture, or you might buy some countries that will not suffer so badly. There are ways to get through this.

I would look at the ones that are the most depressed; something like sugar is probably going to come through OK just because it's so beaten up. It's down dramatically, more than 70% from its highs, so something like is probably going to do OK.

Russia will probably be fine, compared to most of the world, in the next bear market. Venezuela will probably do OK, only because it's been a total disaster. Same thing with Colombia.

The Treasury market bottomed in 1981 and has been going up ever since, until the last year or two. In other words, we had a 36-year bull market in Treasuries that’s coming to an end or may have already ended.

I wouldn't want to put money in U.S. Treasuries, because in the past America has had multidecade bull markets and multidecade bear markets. I suspect we're now in a multidecade bear market for Treasuries.

- Source, ETF.com