Friday, February 24, 2017

Jim Rogers - You're Going to Get Very Worried, I Hope You're Prepared

Erik Townsend welcomes back Jim Rogers to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss what is in store for the U.S. Equity Markets, the U.S. Dollar, bonds and gold. Further in the discussion they tackle the history of government failures and his views on the global populist movements. They finish off the conversation discussing Jim’s views on the movement to a cashless society and answering if we are moving away from a free society?

- Source

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

This Is Where Jim Rogers Suggests You Invest in 2017

Jim Rogers, the famous investor and co-founder of Quantum Fund, has suggested that 2017 is a good year for hidden value. Given the political climate in Washington, he has a truly contrarian investment suggestion: Russia.

His logic is simple.

The Dow Jones and other U.S. market indices are all at record highs. The implication might be that it’s difficult to predict how much further they could reach. Rather than risk getting burned by excessive Trump Effect optimism, it’s better to look at undervalued markets, says Rogers. Russia tops the list. 

Rogers seems bullish about the U.S. economy under Trump. He expects that infrastructure spending and the repatriation of foreign earnings by U.S. firms to at least maintain the current level of economic health. Russia, on the other hand, has a long and steep curve to climb to recovery. Jim Rogers suggests that the time is now to seize on the Russia opportunity.

This is because Donald Trump will likely entertain far better relations with Moscow and Vladimir Putin than his predecessor. The improved political ties should result in an end of the sanctions that the U.S. and some NATO allies imposed against Moscow in the wake of the Ukraine conflict and Crimea annexation.
Trump Is Not the Only One Wanting Better Relations with Russia

There are already European countries clamoring to end the sanctions regime against Russia. Indeed, in 2017, there is a growing pressure to challenge globalization as the world has known it. It is unlikely that Trump will trigger a trade war against either China or Mexico. That could bring disaster.

Trump was already seen chumming around with Jack Ma of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA). That suggests Trump might simply alter the relationship with Beijing, rather than scrap it altogether. Indeed, Trump will not break the recent U.S. foreign trade and relations record, as much as open it up to ignored or ostracized parties—like Russia, for example.

Jim Rogers predicted the two most surprising political events of 2016: the victories of Brexit and Trump. So, when he says Russian equities are bullish in 2017, investors should examine the suggestion seriously. He admits to having bought some Russian equities already. (Source: Ibid.)

If you’re not convinced, consider that Russia could move from negative GDP to 0.5% growth in 2017. The optimism surrounding the Russian ruble in the second half of 2016 should continue steadily in 2017.

Jim Rogers suggests that, from the investment perspective, he recommends the agricultural sector when it comes to investing for the highest value. As for the smallest value, he targets American tech firms.

As for China, Rogers is less concerned by what Trump might do than what China could do to itself. China’s laundry list of problems to resolve has grown larger. China has entertained too many “top trading partner” relationships with countries all over the world.

When those countries have problems, therefore, so does China. Chinese growth will continue, but at a smaller pace. That’s why the Russian market makes sense. Russia has nowhere to go but up. Trump promises to be a major catalyst for the “up” to materialize.

- Source, Lombardi Letter

Friday, February 10, 2017

Jim Rogers Discusses Market Bubbles and One Big Regret

Legendary investor Jim Rogers isn't afraid of the unknown.

In fact, he made his fortune by investing where others feared to tread.

Rogers made a name for himself in the 1970s after founding the Quantum Fund with George Soros. The fund had gains of 4,200% in 10 years.

Rogers has traveled widely and is known for pioneering the boots-on-the-ground approach to investing in emerging and frontier markets around the world.

From his world travels and decades of investment experience, he has penned a range of best-selling books that blend investment insight, political commentary and travelogue. There are many lessons to be learned from these books.

In a recent exclusive interview, Rogers spoke about market bubbles and one of his biggest regrets. A partial transcript follows.

Q.: So when we look at global markets, which markets, [are those] that a lot of investors are very keen on [that may be in bubble territory]?

A.: Well, I can't think of many that people are keen on right now. America ... the S&P [500], people are keen on ... European football clubs ... that's a bubble.

American tertiary education is a bubble. Everybody thinks it's the end all and be all.

America has done a great PR job of selling its universities. Everybody knows [that] grammar school, primary school and high school are a disaster in America.

But somehow or another that translates into the fact that America has great universities. Don't ask me the logic, but that's obviously a bubble.

Hong Kong real estate, Shanghai (China) real estate ... [those] are clearly in some kind of bubble ... also, Sydney (Australia) real estate.

Bonds are obviously something that is going to cause a lot of pain to a lot of people. Bonds have been going up for 35 years, literally, for 35 years.

Now, bond markets have a habit of having long, long, long cycles, 30, 35 years. It's normal in the bond market.

At least historically in the U.S. it's been normal, but ... that's another clear bubble.

- Source, The Street

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Investing legend Jim Rogers: 'Forget China, buy Russia'

Renowned investor Jim Rogers has a contrarian message for U.S. investors on the prowl for opportunities in the wake of the Trump presidency: Buy Russia. In his view, with U.S. equity indices realizing all-time highs, now is the time to look at undervalued markets around the world.

Rogers decades ago co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros.

Although Rogers acknowledges that the Trump effect has had "an impressive effect on the U.S. stock market," he says "many stocks are now expensive." Tax cuts, infrastructure spending and corporate cash repatriation should remain positive for U.S. markets over the next couple of years, but Rogers sees better opportunities internationally.

According to the investment guru, his bullish stance on Russia is based on his view that relations between the United States and Russia will improve when Donald J. Trump takes office as the 45th president of the United States, providing a boost to its depressed economy. There is also the chance that sanctions imposed on Russia over its role in the conflict in the Ukraine may be eased.

Rogers first visited Russia in 1966 and was pessimistic for almost five decades. "But something has happened in the Kremlin. They understand that they cannot be the same old czarist and communist plutocrats that they were," he said. Russia also has vast natural resources — it's the world's largest petroleum producer — and is not a significant debtor nation despite the fact its been mired in recession due to the oil price collapse and international sanctions. It has the 12th-largest economy, valued at $1.3 trillion, the IMF reports.

Rogers is long the ruble and Russian markets. "I was bullish on Russia before Trump came along with his positive comments," he said, noting that he has been investing heavily there over the last few years. "Trump is going to be friendly with Russia. That's an enormous change. You're going to see the rest of the world remove sanctions."

China is a bigger risk
In contrast, Rogers is not optimistic about investment prospects in China and is in a holding pattern, neither shorting nor buying assets.

He says Trump's hawkish stance on China will stall the country's economic growth engine. The president-elect has threatened to slap huge tariffs on Chinese imports, which could trigger a trade war. "America and China could really boom together, [but] Trump seems to have it in for China. I don't know why, since he and his family do huge amounts of business in China," Rogers said.

On Jan. 2, Mr. Trump tweeted that "China has been taking out massive amounts of money & wealth from the U.S. in totally one-sided trade, but won't help with North Korea. Nice!"

Within days China's state news agency, Xinhua, retorted with a commentary, noting that such tweets are "undesirable."

"Some guys that Trump has appointed do understand how the world works. On the other hand, he's got some people who are vehement that they need to attack China," Rogers said.

- Source, CNBC