Sunday, December 23, 2018

The Best Buy I Can Find Now That Powell's Blinked

Fed Chair Jerome Powell changed his tune last Wednesday morning, saying rates were much closer to "neutral" than they've been.

Not surprisingly, the markets shot higher, with the Dow tacking on 600+ points in its second best day of the year. All three averages gave some of that back immediately on Thursday, but no matter.

I've got to hand it to him.

Seems even "old dogs can learn new tricks."

Powell's language is a marked change from what he said in October, when he noted that rates were a "long way from neutral" and almost singlehandedly cratered U.S. markets.

CNBC's Jim Cramer very succinctly noted shortly after the announcement that Powell's "done the homework and he had to change his mind." Like me, Cramer has been harshly critical of the Fed, and for many of the same reasons.

Now let's see if Powell can resist meddling with the obvious.

Tariffs are still on the table, as are a whole host of other things that could gum up the works. Those include a global economic slowdown, politics, Brexit, a trade war… I could go on, but that wouldn't do anyone any good.

Markets can and do change on a dime. Anybody going along for the ride "because everybody else is" will get clobbered (again). And sheep, as the old saying goes, will get slaughtered.

Obviously, I don't ever want to see that happen to you.

In fact, the opposite is true.

My goal is for you to become a fabulously profitable investor, capable of building the wealth you deserve to live out life on your terms. And I started Total Wealth as a way to share the proven tips, tactics, and techniques that will help make that a reality.

Especially in circumstances like this, when everybody "knows" something to be true and bets accordingly.

Take Powell's comments, for example.

Many investors were looking for an excuse to dump stocks coming into Wednesday's trading, and the headlines were filled with perspective on how to avoid the coming bear market.

I, on the other hand, was in rally mode.

In keeping with something the legendary Jim Rogers told me years ago, "It makes sense to start looking at the other side of the trade when 'everybody' knows something to be true."

Honestly, I'm not any smarter than anybody else.

I simply knew that nobody wants to go down as being singlehandedly responsible for killing the longest-running bull market in history.

Including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.

I totally underestimated the man.

He's the first Fed Chair I am aware of who's come even close to saying, "I was wrong" with regard to his prior assessment of rates and business conditions. I'm thinking about October specifically.

What he said Wednesday is not only a shift in what he's communicating, but how.

I can only wonder "who" got to him...

- Source, KEITH FITZ-GERALD

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

Jim Rogers: What to Buy Now

“It is the time to buy commodities again. I would say to you, write it down – commodities are going to do better than stocks.” Jim Rogers, who worked with George Soros on the Quantum Fund in the 1970s, has long been a fan of “real assets”, yet most raw-materials prices peaked in 2011 and have since struggled to regain the lost ground. But with US stocks and the tech sector now on the slide, and interest rates rising, Rogers reckons now is the time for the sector to shine, he tells Remy Blaire at Sprott Media.

However, not all stockmarkets are heading for further falls, reckons Rogers. Smart investors need to “buy low and sell high”. It may sound like obvious advice, but Rogers points to a number of markets that are well below their all-time highs yet remain out of favour with investors. “China’s down 60% from its all-time high. Japan’s down 50%… Russia is hated – I own Russian shares; I own Russian bonds; I own the currency.”

Rogers made his reputation as an adventurous investor – his book Investment Biker was all about a post-Quantum Fund gap year spent touring emerging markets – and he hasn’t changed. On his radar now? Zimbabwe. With former dictator Robert Mugabe no longer in power, Rogers reckons “things are going to change. They may get worse, but I would suspect Zimbabwe is now an interesting place to look”. But do your research. “If you can’t find Zimbabwe on a map… please do not invest… Only invest in what you, yourself, know a lot about.”

- Source, Money Week

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Jim Rogers: Known Reserves of Oil are in Decline, and Continue to Decline

"It is the time to buy commodities again. I would say to you and you can write it down… commodities are going to do better than stocks in the future.

I have learned not to pay too much attention to OPEC… I think oil has been down ten days in a row which is one of the few times in history that that’s ever happened. Oil is making a complicated bottom. 

We are going to look back one day and say ‘2015, ’16, ’17, ’18, ’19, oil made its bottom, and then oil is going to go up again. Known reserves of oil are in decline, and continue to decline, except for fracking, but that bubble has popped, so be careful. Don’t sell your oil.”

- Source, Jim Rogers

Tuesday, December 4, 2018

Jim Rogers: Watch Out For Washington DC


Jim Rogers, author of "Street Smarts" joins Sprott Media's Remy Blaire at the NASDAQ MarketSite to consider risks and opportunities on the investment horizon. Rogers offers his take on geopolitical and political risk around the globe and discusses the implications of potential scenarios.

- Source, Sprott Media

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Jim Rogers Backed Online Brokerage Tiger Brokers Plans to Raise $200 Million in US

Tiger Brokers, a Chinese online securities brokerage backed by famous Wall Street investor Jim Rogers, plans to raise around $200 million through a U.S. initial public offering, people with knowledge of the matter told Bloomberg.

The Beijing-based Fintech unicorn has appointed investment banks to arrange the stock offering and aims to sell shares as soon as the first quarter of next year, said the unnamed source.

Founded by former NetEase developer Wu Tianhua in 2014, the company has received multiple rounds of high-profile investments, including from Wall Street investment guru Jim Rogers, U.S.-based Interactive Brokers Group Inc, Xiaomi Inc., and China's largest angel investment fund, ZhenFund.

Tiger Brokers recently closed an $80 million Series C round of financing, bringing its valuation to more than $1 billion, according to a press release in August. The latest round was a co-investment led by Prospect Avenue Capital (PAC), Orient Hontai Capital, and Oceanpine Capital.

According to Reuters, Tiger's direct competitor, Futu Securities, has filed a preliminary confidential prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Futu Securities is backed by internet giant Tencent Holdings Ltd.

Tiger Brokers, through its app Tiger Trade, helps Chinese investors trade U.S. stocks, Hong Kong-listed stocks, and China A shares via the stock connect scheme between Hong Kong and mainland bourses. In addition, the app offers live news feeds and robo-advising wealth management services.

As of June 1, only 33 months since its launch, Tiger Brokers had seen its accumulated trading volume reach 100 billion yuan, the company said.

- Source, Capital Watch

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Jim Rogers: Backed China Online Brokerage Is Said to Plan IPO

Tiger Brokers, the Chinese online brokerage backed by veteran investor Jim Rogers, is planning a U.S. initial public offering that could raise about $200 million, people with knowledge of the matter said.

The company, which also counts phone giant Xiaomi Corp. as an investor, has appointed banks to arrange the stock offering, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private. Tiger Brokers aims to sell shares as soon as the first quarter of next year, said the people.


Futu Securities, a rival online brokerage backed by Tencent Holdings Ltd., has already filed confidentially for a U.S. stock sale, people familiar with the matter said last week. First-time share sales from Chinese companies have raised $7.8 billion in the U.S. this year, more than triple the volume during the same period in 2017, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

A representative for Tiger Brokers didn’t immediately respond to an email and phone calls seeking comment.

Tiger Brokers helps Chinese investors trade shares in overseas markets including the U.S. and Hong Kong. The firm’s investors include Interactive Brokers Group Inc. and ZhenFund, in addition to Xiaomi and Rogers, its website shows. Tiger Brokers raised a series C financing round in July valuing the company at $1.06 billion, according to a statement at the time.

- Source, Bloomberg

Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Jim Rogers: Gigantic Short Position in Gold and Silver Right Now


World renowned investor, Jim Rogers, sat down with SBTV at The Safe House and shared his thoughts on the changing fortunes of the US, the coming global financial collapse and the state of the gold & silver markets.

- Source, SBTV

Friday, November 2, 2018

Jim Rogers: The Worst Crisis In My Lifetime


Stocks are selling off. Could this be the beginning of the end? 

Legendary investor Jim Rogers talks to Silver Doctors. How bad will the next crash be? Stocks will fall over 50%, he says, just as it has in previous bear markets. 

He predicts the next crisis will be the worst in his lifetime. While gold and silver have held up well during the sell-off over the last couple days, Rogers says the precious metals’ could fall. 

Lastly, Rogers talks commodities other than precious metals. He says sugar is 80 percent below its all time high.

- Source, Silver Doctors

Before This Is Over, Gold is Going Turn Into A Bubble


Famed investor Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, told Kitco News that while he is not yet buying gold at current levels, a rebound in the yellow metal could cause it to overheat. 

“Before this is over, gold could turn into a very overpriced asset, it might even turn into a bubble,” he said. Rogers noted that while he holds physical gold, he would not buy more until prices drop below $1,000 an ounce. “I’m still waiting for $950 an ounce, or something like that,” he said. 

On U.S. equities, Rogers said that current valuations are overstretched, although stock prices could still climb higher on good news. 

He added that the next bear market could be “the worst in my lifetime,” and that instead of U.S. stocks, he is looking at investing in Zimbabwe, an emerging market. 

“I’m buying Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe was ruined for 40 years by a crazy dictator. There’s a new guy, he may be worse, he may be better, but he’s certainly different, so you should think about Zimbabwe,” he said.

- Source, Kitco News

Friday, October 26, 2018

Jim Rogers: Gigantic Short Position in Gold and Silver Right Now


World renowned investor, Jim Rogers, sat down with SBTV at The Safe House and shared his thoughts on the changing fortunes of the US, the coming global financial collapse and the state of the gold & silver markets.

- Source, SBTV