Thursday, January 30, 2014

What Jim Rogers is Long for 2014

Rogers prefers gold over gold mining shares and divisible coins over bullion, but says “there's nothing in precious metals that I'm tempted to buy at the moment.” Indian import tariffs he views as the single biggest drag on the gold market currently.

“They've got a huge balance of trade deficit and the three largest parts are oil, gold and cooking oil. They cannot do anything about oil or cooking oil, so they're attacking gold, blaming their problems on gold. Gold has not caused their problems, gold is a symptom of their problems, but politicians are pretty simple-minded people and they look for the easy answer.”

For early 2014, Rogers is therefore long inflatable equities and neutral on gold, but longer term, he expects to short junk and government bonds and is ultra bullish on gold. “Gold will become one of the only refuges around,” he says. “That's not this quarter.”

- Jim Rogers via a recent interview:

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Gold and Silver May Get me Through Serious Problems Ahead

I've owned gold for many years, I've never sold any gold and I can’t imagine I ever will sell gold in my life because it is somewhat of an insurance policy. I hope that my daughters own my gold someday, I mean I owned gold, I've never sold any gold and if gold comes down and I expect it to go down, doesn't mean it will, I’ll buy more. I’m certainly not going to sell.

Everybody should own some precious metals as an insurance policy. So if they don’t have any right now, I would urge them to go buy something, buy themselves a gold coin if nothing else, and see that it’s not going to hurt. It won’t hurt you to buy the first gold coin, the first silver coin, and from that you start accumulating as your own situation dictates.

First, do your homework, don’t buy gold because you heard me say it or even because you hear you say it. But if people don’t own they should start after they have done their homework. And then they will probably, if they do their homework, most people will then realize, “Oh my gosh, I better have insurance, and gold and silver may get me through serious problems ahead.”

- Source, Jim Rogers via:

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Japan is Printing Staggering Amounts of Money

“The Japanese Central Bank has said that it will print unlimited amounts of money. That's their word and they're doing it. When people look back 20 years from now they'll say that's what killed Japan, but in the meantime, all the staggering, unlimited amounts of money have got to go somewhere and it's going to go into Japanese shares.”

- Jim Rogers via Mineweb:

Friday, January 24, 2014

Markets Are Going to Start to Suffer

“The US went up because people said, 'Now it's done, we don't have to worry anymore.' But somewhere along the line, markets are going to start suffering. They'll taper until the markets start hurting and then they'll panic and loosen up again. They've got themselves in a terrible box.”

- Jim Rogers, via Mineweb:

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Tapering Will be Disaster


Influential investor Jim Rogers has warned about the impact of the US central bank's tapering plans, saying they will be an "unmitigated disaster".

His concern is despite US stock markets looking likely to end 2013 on a high and signs of recovery in the eurozone.

Mr Rogers told Sharanjit Leyl: "This is the first time that all the central banks are printing staggering amounts of money at the same time. There's an artificial sea of liquidity... This is going to be a disaster in the end."

Saturday, January 18, 2014

Cutting QE Will Cause a Collapse

I wish I was that smart or it was that easy. Back in the late 1970s, Mr. Volcker was told and he came in and said: “I am going to kill inflation because Mr. Carter has told me to.” And Mr. Carter was very clear that he had to stop inflation. I doubt if we’ll have that kind of scenario again but we would think, we would hope, that the Federal Reserve will announce, you know, that they publish their numbers so we can all see what’s happening. At the moment they are buying a trillion dollars a year – that’s a trillion with a “T” – of assets. Eventually we will see that they stop that if they do or slow it down.

What will probably happen is that they will slow it down at first to see what happens, and if things aren’t too bad at first – and they probably won’t be too bad at first – well what is likely to happen is they will slow it down, things will drop, and then they will rally and the Federal Reserve will say “Hey, this is not so bad, we can do it.” And they’ll cut some more. Things will drop again and then rally, because it will take a while for people to really believe how bad it can get, or will get. And so eventually they will try to cut [QE], it will finally cause the collapse, at that point we will have a big change, because they will throw them out, whether it’s the politicians or the central bankers or whoever … will continue because they like it, they got the job because of the collapse and then we’ll finally start over. But it may be really painful in the meantime.

- Jim Rogers via Birch Gold Group:

Thursday, January 16, 2014

Inflation Was Everywhere

Let’s say that in 2015, Yellen says, “We’ve got to stop this” and they start stopping it, well, at that point it’s going to be pretty serious for the parties in power and they’re going to get thrown out and the next guys will continue to taper because, as I’ve said, they got power because of the tapering and the problems, and they’ll clean up the problems.

But that’s the only way that you’re going to see it stop someday. The market is just going to say, “We don’t want to play.” That’s what happened with Jimmy Carter when he was in, everything was collapsing: bond yields were falling apart, you know, inflation was everywhere. “Thank you Mr. Carter, we don’t want to play this game anymore. It’s absurd.”

- Jim Rogers

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

No One Wins in a Currency War

We’re all losing in currency wars. How long can it go on? Well, it can go on as long as politicians can continue to print money. The problem is, of course, eventually the markets will just say, “We’re not going to play this game anymore” and we’ll have a serious collapse. You and I can print money all day long, but at some point, you, I and everybody else is going to say, “Wait a minute, guys, this money is getting worse and worse and more and more worthless, so why don’t we stop playing this game?” I wish the politicians were smart enough at some point to say, “We’ve got to stop this, this is going to be bad.”

But unfortunately they never have, and probably never will. Mr. Bernanke is certainly not going to stop it, because he doesn’t want to go down in history as causing the collapse. Mrs. Yellen, when she comes in, she’s not going to stop it, first of all she doesn’t believe in stopping it, she thinks printing money is good. And she knows – I hope she’s smart enough to know – that if she stops, oh my gosh, it’s going to collapse. So she’s not going to stop. Nobody wants to go down as causing the collapse of the world. So I’m afraid this is going to go on until the market eventually says to them, “Okay, enough is enough,” we have a big collapse and then they’re all thrown out and we can start over.

- Source, Birch Gold Group:

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Investor Jim Rogers warns about impact of artificial sea of liquidity



As the US Central Bank cuts back on the emergency money it has been pumping into the economy, the influential investor Jim Rogers has warned about the impact of "an artificial sea of liquidity".

He said: "This is the first time that all the central banks are printing staggering amounts of money at the same time. This is going to be a disaster in the end."

He expressed concerns despite US stock markets looking likely to end 2013 on a high and signs of recovery in the eurozone.

Sharanjit Leyl asked Mr Rogers what effect the "tapering" would have on the US economy.

- Source, BBC News: