Saturday, January 31, 2015

Central Bank of Russia is on the Right Track

I own some Russian stocks. To my astonishment, the main one I own is not even down in all this. I guess it’s because it’s – it sells in dollars. Its expenses are in rubles, and it sells in dollars. So that’s helping it, and that’s – Aeroflot (MCX:AFLT) is another one I own, which is also sort of benefiting these days.

But to answer your question, I don’t have a clue. I do know – I think we all know – that markets go up too far, and they go down too far. Once you start building their momentum, panic develops. People get more and more scared. Marching calls go out. So I have no idea.

As far as I’m concerned, the Central Bank in Russia has been doing the right thing. They said they were not going to intervene anymore. Yesterday, they intervened for the first time in a while. But I think it’s very smart – not intervening. Let it collapse. Let it find its own level. And then we’ll have a staggering rebound.

But who knows? It’s 52 right now. I guess, it’s 52 right now. You’re right. It changes every three minutes. Who knows? Why not 60? In Russia, they talk about 60 as some kind of catastrophic bottom. Who knows? I don’t anyway.

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